FINAL
Regular Season · Feb 16, 2026
Northern Cyclones - Ellis
3–6
IHC West - MacIsaac
Prediction vs. Result
440 games in sample
Stored pre-game forecast
Northern Cyclones - Ellis 8.2%
Draw 8.7%
83.2% IHC West - MacIsaac
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.27 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Northern Cyclones - Ellis, columns = IHC West - MacIsaac.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.