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FINAL Regular Season · Feb 22, 2026
Manchester Flames - Hawkes
4–9
Top Gun - Buonopane

Prediction vs. Result

213 games in sample

Stored pre-game forecast

Manchester Flames - Hawkes 24.3% Draw 14.0% 61.7% Top Gun - Buonopane
Top Gun - Buonopane won
Favored Draw Underdog
As expected

0.70 bits

Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.

This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.

Score Probability Matrix

Probability of each scoreline — rows = Manchester Flames - Hawkes, columns = Top Gun - Buonopane.

Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.