FINAL
Regular Season · Feb 14, 2026
Minuteman Flames
5–4
Bay State Breakers 2014 Elite
Prediction vs. Result
143 games in sample
Stored pre-game forecast
Minuteman Flames 53.7%
Draw 16.7%
29.6% Bay State Breakers 2014 Elite
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.90 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Minuteman Flames, columns = Bay State Breakers 2014 Elite.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.