FINAL
Regular Season · Jan 18, 2026
Minuteman Flames
5–11
Top Gun
Prediction vs. Result
120 games in sample
Stored pre-game forecast
Minuteman Flames 5.2%
Draw 6.8%
88.0% Top Gun
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.18 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Minuteman Flames, columns = Top Gun.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.