FINAL
Regular Season · Feb 21, 2026
Top Gun
2–6
Minuteman Flames - Hogan
Prediction vs. Result
159 games in sample
Stored pre-game forecast
Top Gun 14.4%
Draw 13.2%
72.4% Minuteman Flames - Hogan
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.47 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Top Gun, columns = Minuteman Flames - Hogan.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.