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FINAL Regular Season · Jan 25, 2026
Shamrocks - McCarthy
4–5
Top Gun - Connors

Prediction vs. Result

171 games in sample

Stored pre-game forecast

Shamrocks - McCarthy 18.6% Draw 12.3% 69.1% Top Gun - Connors
Top Gun - Connors won
Favored Draw Underdog
As expected

0.53 bits

Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.

This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.

Score Probability Matrix

Probability of each scoreline — rows = Shamrocks - McCarthy, columns = Top Gun - Connors.

Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.