FINAL
Regular Season · Feb 15, 2026
Top Gun - Connors
1–4
NorthStars - Macmillan
Prediction vs. Result
208 games in sample
Stored pre-game forecast
Top Gun - Connors 48.3%
Draw 14.9%
36.8% NorthStars - Macmillan
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
1.44 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Top Gun - Connors, columns = NorthStars - Macmillan.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.