FINAL
Regular Season · Nov 23, 2025
Providence Capitals - Vanacore
5–3
Islanders Hockey Club
Prediction vs. Result
83 games in sample
Stored pre-game forecast
Providence Capitals - Vanacore 58.9%
Draw 12.5%
28.6% Islanders Hockey Club
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.76 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Providence Capitals - Vanacore, columns = Islanders Hockey Club.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.