FINAL
Regular Season · Feb 21, 2026
Providence Capitals - Vanacore
4–3
South Shore Kings
Prediction vs. Result
150 games in sample
Stored pre-game forecast
Providence Capitals - Vanacore 82.9%
Draw 7.7%
9.5% South Shore Kings
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.27 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Providence Capitals - Vanacore, columns = South Shore Kings.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.