FINAL
Regular Season · Jan 04, 2026
Shamrocks - Murphy
1–11
Spartans - Knowlton
Prediction vs. Result
175 games in sample
Stored pre-game forecast
Shamrocks - Murphy 1.9%
Draw 2.8%
95.2% Spartans - Knowlton
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.07 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Shamrocks - Murphy, columns = Spartans - Knowlton.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.