Back to The Sheet
FINAL Regular Season · Feb 14, 2026
Top Gun - Luccisano
6–2
Bay State Breakers 2016 UG

Prediction vs. Result

390 games in sample

Stored pre-game forecast

Top Gun - Luccisano 84.0% Draw 7.7% 8.2% Bay State Breakers 2016 UG
Top Gun - Luccisano won
Favored Draw Underdog
As expected

0.25 bits

Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.

This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.

Score Probability Matrix

Probability of each scoreline — rows = Top Gun - Luccisano, columns = Bay State Breakers 2016 UG.

Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.