FINAL
Regular Season · Oct 04, 2025
Team Merrimack
12–2
Young Guns
Prediction vs. Result
24 games in sample
Stored pre-game forecast
Team Merrimack 89.2%
Draw 6.0%
4.8% Young Guns
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.16 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Team Merrimack, columns = Young Guns.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.