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FINAL Regular Season · Oct 05, 2025
Team Merrimack
9–1
Providence

Prediction vs. Result

26 games in sample

Stored pre-game forecast

Team Merrimack 96.3% Draw 1.9% 1.8% Providence
Team Merrimack won
Favored Draw Underdog
As expected

0.05 bits

Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.

This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.

Score Probability Matrix

Probability of each scoreline — rows = Team Merrimack, columns = Providence.

Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.