FINAL
Regular Season · Oct 11, 2025
Team Merrimack
11–2
Minuteman Sparks
Prediction vs. Result
29 games in sample
Stored pre-game forecast
Team Merrimack 99.6%
Draw 0.3%
0.1% Minuteman Sparks
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.01 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Team Merrimack, columns = Minuteman Sparks.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.