FINAL
Regular Season · Oct 12, 2025
Bay State Waves 2017 Elite
2–4
Team Merrimack
Prediction vs. Result
33 games in sample
Stored pre-game forecast
Bay State Waves 2017 Elite 12.5%
Draw 10.3%
77.2% Team Merrimack
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.37 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Bay State Waves 2017 Elite, columns = Team Merrimack.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.