FINAL
Regular Season · Nov 23, 2025
Team Merrimack
9–4
Bay State Waves 2017 Elite
Prediction vs. Result
64 games in sample
Stored pre-game forecast
Team Merrimack 75.0%
Draw 11.8%
13.3% Bay State Waves 2017 Elite
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.42 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Team Merrimack, columns = Bay State Waves 2017 Elite.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.