FINAL
Regular Season · Jan 17, 2026
Team Merrimack
3–0
Boston Jr Dogs
Prediction vs. Result
103 games in sample
Stored pre-game forecast
Team Merrimack 68.1%
Draw 12.5%
19.4% Boston Jr Dogs
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.55 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Team Merrimack, columns = Boston Jr Dogs.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.