FINAL
Regular Season · Jan 18, 2026
Team Merrimack
11–1
Young Guns
Prediction vs. Result
105 games in sample
Stored pre-game forecast
Team Merrimack 92.2%
Draw 4.2%
3.5% Young Guns
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.12 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Team Merrimack, columns = Young Guns.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.