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FINAL Regular Season · Jan 31, 2026
Team Merrimack
4–2
Boston Jr Dogs

Prediction vs. Result

115 games in sample

Stored pre-game forecast

Team Merrimack 70.4% Draw 12.4% 17.2% Boston Jr Dogs
Team Merrimack won
Favored Draw Underdog
As expected

0.51 bits

Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.

This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.

Score Probability Matrix

Probability of each scoreline — rows = Team Merrimack, columns = Boston Jr Dogs.

Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.