FINAL
Regular Season · Jan 11, 2026
Team Merrimack
8–1
Team Boston
Prediction vs. Result
100 games in sample
Stored pre-game forecast
Team Merrimack 98.8%
Draw 0.7%
0.5% Team Boston
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.02 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Team Merrimack, columns = Team Boston.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.