FINAL
Regular Season · Feb 22, 2026
Team Merrimack
5–1
Bay State Waves 2017 Elite
Prediction vs. Result
136 games in sample
Stored pre-game forecast
Team Merrimack 71.5%
Draw 12.7%
15.8% Bay State Waves 2017 Elite
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.48 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Team Merrimack, columns = Bay State Waves 2017 Elite.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.