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FINAL Regular Season · Feb 14, 2026
Minuteman Sparks - Cardarelli
6–3
Bay State Waves Black

Prediction vs. Result

135 games in sample

Stored pre-game forecast

Minuteman Sparks - Cardarelli 61.7% Draw 12.8% 25.5% Bay State Waves Black
Minuteman Sparks - Cardarelli won
Favored Draw Underdog
As expected

0.70 bits

Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.

This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.

Score Probability Matrix

Probability of each scoreline — rows = Minuteman Sparks - Cardarelli, columns = Bay State Waves Black.

Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.