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FINAL Regular Season · Jan 03, 2026
Bay State Waves Black
4–7
Minuteman Sparks - Cardarelli

Prediction vs. Result

94 games in sample

Stored pre-game forecast

Bay State Waves Black 12.6% Draw 8.9% 78.4% Minuteman Sparks - Cardarelli
Minuteman Sparks - Cardarelli won
Favored Draw Underdog
As expected

0.35 bits

Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.

This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.

Score Probability Matrix

Probability of each scoreline — rows = Bay State Waves Black, columns = Minuteman Sparks - Cardarelli.

Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.