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FINAL Regular Season · Feb 15, 2026
Minuteman Sparks - Cardarelli
5–7
Spartans - Savage

Prediction vs. Result

139 games in sample

Stored pre-game forecast

Minuteman Sparks - Cardarelli 50.7% Draw 11.4% 37.8% Spartans - Savage
Spartans - Savage won
Favored Draw Underdog
As expected

1.40 bits

Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.

This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.

Score Probability Matrix

Probability of each scoreline — rows = Minuteman Sparks - Cardarelli, columns = Spartans - Savage.

Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.