FINAL
Regular Season · Jan 24, 2026
Bay State Waves Black
5–6
Spartans - Savage
Prediction vs. Result
116 games in sample
Stored pre-game forecast
Bay State Waves Black 27.5%
Draw 11.2%
61.3% Spartans - Savage
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.71 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Bay State Waves Black, columns = Spartans - Savage.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.