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FINAL Regular Season · Feb 15, 2026
MC Selects - Gajda
4–2
Bay State Waves Black

Prediction vs. Result

138 games in sample

Stored pre-game forecast

MC Selects - Gajda 76.5% Draw 9.1% 14.5% Bay State Waves Black
MC Selects - Gajda won
Favored Draw Underdog
As expected

0.39 bits

Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.

This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.

Score Probability Matrix

Probability of each scoreline — rows = MC Selects - Gajda, columns = Bay State Waves Black.

Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.