Back to The Sheet
FINAL Regular Season · Nov 23, 2025
Minuteman Sparks - Cardarelli
3–5
Bay State Waves Green
UPSET

Prediction vs. Result

55 games in sample

Stored pre-game forecast

Minuteman Sparks - Cardarelli 81.1% Draw 9.1% 9.8% Bay State Waves Green
Bay State Waves Green won
Favored Draw Underdog
Major upset

3.35 bits

Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.

This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.

Score Probability Matrix

Probability of each scoreline — rows = Minuteman Sparks - Cardarelli, columns = Bay State Waves Green.

Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.