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FINAL Regular Season · Feb 22, 2026
MC Selects
11–3
Team Merrimack West

Prediction vs. Result

189 games in sample

Stored pre-game forecast

MC Selects 68.9% Draw 9.0% 22.1% Team Merrimack West
MC Selects won
Favored Draw Underdog
As expected

0.54 bits

Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.

This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.

Score Probability Matrix

Probability of each scoreline — rows = MC Selects, columns = Team Merrimack West.

Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.