FINAL
Regular Season · Dec 21, 2025
Team Merrimack
1–2
Minuteman Sparks
Prediction vs. Result
89 games in sample
Stored pre-game forecast
Team Merrimack 49.0%
Draw 22.1%
28.9% Minuteman Sparks
Favored
Draw
Underdog
Mild upset
1.79 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Team Merrimack, columns = Minuteman Sparks.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.