FINAL
Regular Season · Jan 03, 2026
Team Merrimack
5–0
Minuteman Sparks
Prediction vs. Result
96 games in sample
Stored pre-game forecast
Team Merrimack 46.2%
Draw 22.8%
31.0% Minuteman Sparks
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
1.11 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Team Merrimack, columns = Minuteman Sparks.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.