FINAL
Regular Season · Jan 24, 2026
Team Merrimack
7–1
Providence
Prediction vs. Result
114 games in sample
Stored pre-game forecast
Team Merrimack 98.1%
Draw 1.4%
0.5% Providence
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.03 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Team Merrimack, columns = Providence.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.