FINAL
Regular Season · Feb 01, 2026
Bay State Waves 2018 Elite
1–3
Team Merrimack
Prediction vs. Result
120 games in sample
Stored pre-game forecast
Bay State Waves 2018 Elite 37.6%
Draw 23.3%
39.1% Team Merrimack
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
1.36 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Bay State Waves 2018 Elite, columns = Team Merrimack.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.