FINAL
Regular Season · Feb 14, 2026
Minuteman Sparks
0–2
Team Merrimack
Prediction vs. Result
132 games in sample
Stored pre-game forecast
Minuteman Sparks 22.6%
Draw 21.0%
56.3% Team Merrimack
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.83 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Minuteman Sparks, columns = Team Merrimack.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.