FINAL
Regular Season · Feb 15, 2026
Minuteman Sparks
5–3
Young Guns
Prediction vs. Result
134 games in sample
Stored pre-game forecast
Minuteman Sparks 38.3%
Draw 24.8%
36.8% Young Guns
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
1.38 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Minuteman Sparks, columns = Young Guns.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.