FINAL
Regular Season · Feb 15, 2026
Minuteman Sparks - ONeil
5–1
Young Guns
Prediction vs. Result
168 games in sample
Stored pre-game forecast
Minuteman Sparks - ONeil 94.8%
Draw 2.7%
2.5% Young Guns
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.08 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Minuteman Sparks - ONeil, columns = Young Guns.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.