FINAL
Regular Season · Feb 15, 2026
Northern Cyclones - Bartlett
4–2
Providence Capitals (South) - Joyal
Prediction vs. Result
159 games in sample
Stored pre-game forecast
Northern Cyclones - Bartlett 65.0%
Draw 12.5%
22.5% Providence Capitals (South) - Joyal
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
0.62 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Northern Cyclones - Bartlett, columns = Providence Capitals (South) - Joyal.
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.