FINAL
Regular Season · Feb 14, 2026
Minuteman Flames
1–3
Islanders Hockey Club (West)
Prediction vs. Result
161 games in sample
Stored pre-game forecast
Minuteman Flames 43.9%
Draw 17.5%
38.6% Islanders Hockey Club (West)
Favored
Draw
Underdog
As expected
1.37 bits
Lower predicted probability means a more surprising result.
This band describes outcome probability; the UPSET badge separately identifies an upset winner.
Score Probability Matrix
Probability of each scoreline — rows = Minuteman Flames, columns = Islanders Hockey Club (West).
Scores of 0–7 cover 100.0% of outcomes.